The difficulties of decision-making in complex and uncertain domains of reality.

Dietrich Dorner

The author considers decision making in complex realities and discusses some of the deficiencies in human thinking and planning in these kind of situations.

On the difficulties of decision making in complex and uncertain domains of reality.

Dietrich Drner Faculty of Psychology II, Bamberg University, Germany

I am going to speak about the difficulties of decision making in complex and uncertain domains of reality. I.e. I am going to speak about decision making in domains consisting of a lot of different variables, normally interconnected with each other to form a complicated network. This network and its present state is normally hidden to the decision maker, at least partially. On the other...

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