Air Traffic - Quo Vadis? Scenarios for the next twenty years

Franz Tessun
Daimler-Benz Aerospace, Germany

We advise Professor Samuel P. Langley not to endanger his excellent scientific reputation any further by continuing to waste time and money on experiments with flying machines. Life is short and he is able to serve mankind in much better ways than through what might result from attempts to fly. There are more useful occupations for the Langleys of this world!

Source: The New York Times, 10 December 1903

Seven days later, on 17 December 1903, the Wright brothers' airplane made its first flight at Kitty Hawk.

Some thoughts:

  • Any decision with long term implications is made with a picture of the future in mind.
  • Just imagine long range business decisions with such a faulty perception of the future!
  • How will your picture of the future compare with the actual reality in twenty years?

INTRODUCTION