Messages from the spiral of silence: developing more accurate marketing information in a more uncertain political climate

The failure of the polls to forecast the eventual outcome of the 1992 election has created a period of uncertainty for all political parties.
  

Messages from the Spiral of Silence: Developing More Accurate Market Information in a More Uncertain PoliticalClimate

Nick Sparrow  ICM Research and John Turner  Oxford Brookes University

Introduction

Interest in the polls conducted during the 1992 election campaign has since centred not just on their inability to forecast the actual result, but on their general influence and the use made of them by the media. Polls conducted in the run up to the 1992 general election all failed to predict the narrow Conservative victory. The failure has called into question the influence they have,...

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