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Opinion polls, political research

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Article

This article explores the historical link between political research and opinion polling and suggests alternatives to the latter, which should however be approached with caution.

News

WASHINGTON DC: Only a minority (47%) of consumers in the US believe their news media do very or somewhat well in the accuracy of their reporting of political issues.

Article

Expectations of leadership have changed since the time of the 2015 UK general election, but many of the qualifying conditions endure.

Article

Political campaigns invest significant resources in attempts to persuade voters to pick one candidate over a competitor from a rival party, but the impact of these efforts appears to be negligible at best.

Article

This article presents six lessons that marketers can learn from the results of the 2017 UK general election.
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Research Paper

This paper discusses challenges facing political opinion polls with a particular focus on the 2017 French presidential election, drawing on various sources of voter data from that election as well as research into the influence of social bubbles and fake news on public opinion.

Research Paper

This paper is a summary of analysis of an international database of over 30,000 polls from 473 elections between 1936 and 2017, to assess accuracy trends within opinion polling in light of recent criticism.

News

NEW YORK: Elections provide the forum where research and polling get the most exposure – and flawed 2016 forecasts in the US and UK delivered powerful blows to the credibility of this discipline.

Article

This article summarises a webinar on what the 2016 presidential election in the US means for the marketplace and how brands should be reacting to this new state of uncertainty.

Article

This article looks at whether it is possible to ascertain the right questions to ask the right people in order to make a prediction in political polling.

Article

In this viewpoint, the author looks at opinion polls and their varying success in the wake of several global elections and referendums.

Article

This event report outlines some of the failings of political pollsters during the 2016 Presidential election, drawing particularly on learnings from consumer-focused market research.

Research Paper

This article examines what went wrong with pre-election polls for the 2016 U.S. presidential election and offers solutions to restore credibility to survey methods.

Article

This article explains why opinion polls still remain the reference in public affairs, despite being criticised for inaccuracy.

News

NEW YORK: Elections provide the forum where research and polling get the most exposure, and while flawed 2016 forecasts in the US and UK delivered powerful blows to the credibility of the practice, the main issue seems to be one of "pilot error".

Opinion

As the UK heads to the polls on Thursday, WARC's Alan Saywood explores why pollsters got the 2015 result so wrong, and asks what they must do to put things right and work toward the accuracy that the media and the public demand.

Research Paper

This Forum article considers the unsatisfactory results of pre-election opinion polling in the 2015 British general election and the BPC/MRS enquiry report into polling by Sturgis et al., providing a response from Ipsos MORI and associated researchers at King’s College London and Cranfield Universities.

Research Paper

This paper presents a new approach to capturing respondents' emotional drivers of behaviour through research involving free form text, using the example of the 2016 US Presidential election, and listing implications for the Asian market.

News

TORONTO: Data is becoming increasingly "political" as digital profiling and targeting grow ever more sophisticated – and as electoral candidates leverage similar analytic tools to product marketing campaigns.

Research Paper

This paper investigates whether a 'wisdom of the crowd' approach might offer an alternative to recent political polls that have raised questions about survey data quality.

News

LONDON: British consumers are more concerned about rising living costs than the consequences of Brexit, or the UK's departure from the European Union, according to a new report that finds this surprising since the two issues are interlinked.

News

SHANGHAI: US brands face a mixed reaction in China, as consumers react to the presidency of Donald Trump and his threat to impose tariffs on imports from that country, new research reveals.

Opinion

A very thought provoking article with this title was published in the Guardian in the Journal section on 19 th January by William Davies .

News

NEW YORK: Donald Trump's explicit endorsement via Twitter of a privately held Maine retailer, coupled with campaign donations from a family member, has left marketers wondering how best to deal with being name-checked by the president-elect.

Research Paper

This paper outlines an approach to political opinion measurement that moves away from seeking voters' explicit articulation of their voting intentions, illustrated by a case study for the nomination process for the 2016 US presidential selection.